We ignore the fact that the 'official' answer to the question "where did they go?" is not supported at all by physical evidence in 2/3 of these AR camps (Sobibor, Treblinka), and is 99% unsupported in 1/3, Belzec (where only scattered remains amounting to thousands or low ten thousand(s), at most, can be reasonably inferred based on on-site excavations) where such a small amount of remains fits well-within the Revisionist thesis (accounting for thousands of Jews undoubtedly dying of epidemic and other causes in-transit over time). Note that the former two (Sobibor, Treblinka) have also had excavations, but despite almost a million 'gassed' corpses allegedly interred there in bone meal form, the total identified were: zero.
But the physical evidence isn't what this thread is about. Exterminationists often suggest that it's just silly to think that 1.4 million Jews could have transited through the AR camps without some substantial documentary record (other than the numerous official German documents explicitly announcing this as their official policy) demonstrating exactly where these Jews ended up in the Eastern-occupied territories. What I'd like us to discuss here is the fact that suggesting such a population transfer has occurred is not silly at all and, in fact, there are obvious factors which can easily explain how this number of Jews certainly could have been transited as described by Revisionists with very little documentary record to show for it.
First, with the assumption that transit did, in fact, occur as per official German policy, let's consider the ultimate fate of these Jews and how we might hypothesize a most reasonable apportionment as such, based on an informed understanding of conditions in the Eastern territories under German occupation and thereafter. Here is what that might look like:
- Subjected to German forced labor in Eastern territories until death: 15%
- Unauthorized killings of deported Jews by Germans in Eastern territories: 1%
- Killed in the crossfire as the Soviet army advanced: 7%
- Killed by the Soviet army deliberately during the advance: 1%
- Killed through the course of Stalin/Soviet purges: 5%
- Died after deportation to gulag: 15%
- Subjected to Soviet forced labor leading to death (other than gulag): 5%
- Death due to war and immediate postwar conditions (scarcity, disease, local violence, etc.): 22%
- Joined partisan resistance movements and died in combat: 4%
- Joined partisan resistance movements and died as POWs: 1%
- Included in reprisal killings (e.g. by Einsatzgruppen): 3%
- Children "reeducated" and losing Jewish identity: 3%
- Survived for years, decades in hiding or integration with local populations or Soviet system: 14%
- Escaped to other nations and survived for years, decades: 4%
Remember, if you feel that any of these categories should (or could) be a higher percentage (e.g. that more than 15% of the 1.4 million could have been killed by German forced labor, or in Soviet gulags), it means the other categories must be lowered, proportionally.
In this hypothetical breakdown above, in addition to any initial records of transfer kept by the Germans, there are only a small portion of these Jews whom we might expect could ever potentially leave a documentary trail of "where did the AR Jews go?". That would be the last two categories shown (survived for years/decades in Soviet Union, or abroad), amounting to a [highly-speculative yet generous] total of 18%, about 250,000 Jews (about 200,000 in the Soviet Union; 50,000 emigrating abroad). Surely, even with this figure, we would expect some clear documentary trail of where these Jews had come from, right?
Not so fast. Here is a breakdown of some of the myriad different reasons we should expect to see limited (if any) documentation in this regard (some of which are individually sufficient to account for an absence of these records):
- Records deliberately destroyed by the Germans near the end of the war
- Records maintained in the East kept secret, destroyed, or lost due to Soviet practices
- Records lost in the chaos and destruction of the war, generally
- Records not maintained due to the complex post-war geopolitical upheaval in the Soviet Union (including Cold War factors)
- Silence of Jewish "survivors" due to trauma, fear of retribution/antisemitism, desire to "move on"
- Disruption of family memory (families torn apart, loss of shared personal and oral histories)
- Jews changing their identities, assimilating into new communities, losing Jewish identity (difficult to track)
- Lack of interest or awareness among historians/researchers or the broader public about the fate of these individuals
- Lack of preservation, decoding or awareness of records actually produced
- Language and cultural barriers limiting documentation of experiences
- Limited literacy and access to education preventing the documentation of experiences
- Short life expectancy of Jews in these areas due to overall conditions throughout the postwar years
- Lack of social and institutional support or recognition of Jewish experiences to encourage recording
Note that the interest of the Soviet Union in promoting the suffering of their own "patriots" over that of Jews is known via the early 'Holocaust' narratives and propaganda they produced, which focused more on Soviet POWs in concentration camps than it did on Jews. This emphasis must have persisted internally within the Soviet Union, with the focus set upon the collective suffering and Soviet resistance during the war. At least early on, this led to a lack of interest in (or active suppression of) stories of Jewish experiences and struggle, including that of transit and resettlement.
No one denies the Soviet government imposed their will upon the population, after all.
Also, note that many of these survivors would not know they had come from (or through) "Belzec", "Sobibor" or "Treblinka", all the more suggesting the diminished sense of relevance of their experiences, hence little motive to document their travels, even once the names of these camps gained popular attention decades after the war.
Altogether, it is quite clear that it is by no means unreasonable to suggest this number of Jews (totaling 1.4 million) were transited East, as per the official, well-documented German policy.
One more thing I'd like to add or explore is that, had the Germans won the war, it would be very easy for them to sift through millions of captured Soviet documents, coerce captured POWs in postwar trials, empower inventive "eyewitnesses", etc. to paint a picture that many of the mass executions Germany had done were actually done by the Soviets, or to invent a pattern of mass executions altogether. Surely, many exterminationists would agree Germany could have pulled this off, had they won the war -- after all, both sides had mass graves within their occupied territories and millions of documents (and perhaps eager "lie-witnesses") from which narrative could be fabricated or woven. But there is a moral bias at work, a lens through which most people today are unable to see the Allies (or Jews) being capable of the same behavior as what they would ascribe to Germans.
And so, again: reason is on the side of Revisionism.